Five things we learned from watching football this weekend | John Ashdown

Liverpool could be nervously looking over their shoulder, Sam Allardyce deserves more credit and Leeds aren’t chokers after all

Liverpool may be a long time gone

While Chelsea, 8-0 victors over Wigan Athletic, cavorted around Stamford Bridge with the Premier League trophy, Steven Gerrard, whose Liverpool side had shambled to a 0-0 draw at relegated Hull City, was scrambling through a mini-pitch invasion at the KC Stadium as a few overamorous Tigers fans attempted to cop a feel or make off with his captain’s armband. It was a finale somehow befitting of Liverpool’s season and not exactly the finale that the England midfielder would have pictured.

Arguably the crucial self-destructive period in the Reds’ campaign came between the end of September and Christmas when they picked up 12 points from 11 games (fewer, for example, than Portsmouth), although inconsistency has blighted them throughout – Rafael Benítez’s side won four games back to back in August and September, but won consecutive league games only three more times after that early spurt.

The only solution is an overhaul. Seventh is their lowest league finish since 1999 (and it’s a ‘depth’ they have plunged to only three times in the past 44 years). The team that ended the last season of the century under Gérard Houllier – Friedel, Staunton, Song, Matteo, Carragher, Berger, Redknapp, Ince, Leonhardsen, McManaman, Riedle – was rapidly broken up, the Frenchman spending over £30m the following season in an attempt to reinvigorate the club. Though it didn’t get them much closer to the title (they were 25 points off the pace in 1998-99 and 24 in 1999-00) it did at least bring a return to the top four.

The problem for Liverpool is that Benítez is unlikely to have even that fairly paltry sum (in Premier League terms at least) to spend this summer. With Manchester City revving up for another spree and Tottenham, already a better team than Liverpool, likely to be bolstered by an influx of Champions League money, those at Anfield may be nervously looking over their collective shoulder next year. If the season had started at Christmas, Everton would be third …

Sol Campbell shouldn’t go to the World Cup

Though it’s an indictment of the very average seasons endured by the likes of Joleon Lescott and Matthew Upson that Fabio Capello should even be considering England World Cup recalls for Jamie Carragher and Sol Campbell, the latter’s display yesterday should put the final nail in that coffin.

The Arsenal defender creaked against Fulham – and should have given away a penalty when compounding his heading error and grappling with Clint Dempsey in the box. It was always going to be an outside chance anyway, but Gary Cahill, Phil Jagielka or Michael Dawson have all done more to earn their chance.

Spurs may be in the Champions League but they’re still Spurs

Whisper it, but the Fiver might have got it wrong. Tottenham Hotspur really are still funny. Which other team could qualify for the Champions League and, in the same week, become the first team since West Ham in February to get beaten at Burnley? The last visiting team to concede four at Turf Moor? Bristol City, almost exactly a year ago.

Sam Allardyce deserves a bit more credit

Last summer the writing seemed to be on the wall for Blackburn. Rovers had finished 15th, as bad as it has been for them in the Premier League since relegation in 1999, and it had taken a Sam Allardyce escape act to save them from the drop. Roque Santa Cruz left for Manchester City, Stephen Warnock high-tailed it to Aston Villa, the reliable Andre Ooijer headed back to Holland and PSV Eindhoven, Tugay called it a day. Even perennial superbsub Matty Derbyshire took himself off to Olympiakos.

Yet Allardyce has turned his team around and steered them into 10th. Yes, 10th, ostensibly hardly the sort of finish to prompt the popping of champagne corks and ticker tape parades, but for a club of Blackburn’s side (and, more importantly, wealth) a real achievement. Despite the relative flop of last summer’s big purchase, £6m Nikola Kalinic, who has mustered two league goals all season, they’ve ended up level on points with Birmingham, and if Alex McLeish deserves a huge amount of credit for leading Blues into the top half on the back of promotion (and he does), then Allardyce deserves a bit too.

It can be eye-pokingly painful to watch at times, but in a league where cash, money and dosh are the holy trinity, the Rovers hierarchy will be more than happy to overlook aesthetics. “The difference those results make is four places in the league and four times £800,000,” Allardyce said yesterday. “That’s a big difference to our limited budget.”

Leeds United aren’t the chokers we thought they were

3 January 2010 was a good day to be a Leeds fan. United sat eight points clear at the top of League One with a game in hand on second-placed Norwich. They’d lost just once all season and, to top it off, Manchester United had just been vanquished at Old Trafford in the FA Cup.

But between the turn of the year and the start of April, 16 games yielded just 15 points. That run destroyed any hope of claiming the title and they went into Saturday’s final game of the season needing a win to be sure of clinging on to automatic promotion and returning to the division they departed through the trapdoor in 2007.

On Saturday they went down to 10 men – Max Gradel having utterly lost the plot – and then 1-0 down against Bristol Rovers three minutes into the second half at Elland Road, just as Charlton took a 2-0 lead at Oldham. At that point, with Millwall and Swindon drawing, the Addicks were heading for promotion. Jon Howson equalised at Elland Road, but just after the hour Gordon Greer’s own goal put Millwall 2-1 up, the Lions into the promotion places and sparked a mini-pitch invasion at the Den.

That might have been that. But within seconds Jermaine Beckford, the beneficiary of a horrendous goalkeeping error, bundled in the decisive Leeds goal and brought rapture to West Yorkshire. So Leeds aren’t chokers after all. The Championship’s top 10 next season is not an impossibility.

Premier LeagueLeague OneLiverpoolSol CampbellTottenham HotspurSam AllardyceBlackburn RoversLeeds UnitedJohn Ashdownguardian.co.uk

James Milner says Aston Villa are now strong enough to win a trophy

• James Milner praises Aston Villa’s rate of progress
• Midfielder confident league form will not fade again

James Milner followed his man-of-the-match performance in Aston Villa’s exhilarating 6-4 Carling Cup semi-final, second-leg victory over Blackburn Rovers by saying that the development of Martin O’Neill’s team required them to win a first trophy for 14 years.

“The next step for this side is to win a trophy. The owner [Randy Lerner] and the manager have done a great job and the club has changed massively since the last time I was here on loan,” Milner said, referring to the season he spent at Villa Park four years ago.

“Hopefully we are improving year by year and we can show that in the league but also to get a piece of silverware would be great. We know we are going to come up against a quality team whoever it is ­[Manchester City or Manchester United, in the final]. And although it is a great day out for the fans, we’re going there to win.”

Villa last reached a major final a decade ago, when Chelsea beat them in the 2000 FA Cup final. Beyond Brad Friedel’s 2002 Carling Cup winner’s medal and Nigel Reo-Coker’s 2006 FA Cup final appearance for West Ham United in the defeat on penalties by Liverpool, O’Neill’s nominal first-choice side have never experienced a major final. “It is fantastic. I don’t think it has sunk in yet,” Milner said. “It would be my first final and for a few of the boys.”

Milner is confident that Villa’s challenge for a Champions League place will not fade, as it did last season. “It’s about getting that consistency and making sure we put in our best performances,” he said. “It’s down to us to finish the season well. We know what happened last season. We’ve added a lot of strength and quality to the squad.”

Milner will be hoping he has a better League Cup final experience than in 1996 when, as a Leeds United fan, the day ended sourly for him, with his side losing 3-0 and their supporters jeering the then manager Howard Wilkinson at the end. “I was supporting Leeds. I was only 10 [and] remember being disappointed,” he recalled.

His display against Blackburn, in which Villa secured a 7-4 aggregate win, in his new central midfield role confirmed why he is a firm favourite to be selected for Fabio Capello’s England’s squad for the World Cup in South Africa this summer.

He said: “I played there coming through a lot at Leeds in the Under-12s, 13, 14s and enjoyed it very much. When you’re a younger player you see young centre-backs get played at right-back and centre midfielders played wide. It is seems to be the way as there’s not so much responsibility. But wherever the manager plays me, I enjoy it. I’m delighted to be playing in there and I feel I can influence the game a bit more.”

Aston VillaCarling CupBlackburn RoversJamie Jacksonguardian.co.uk

Is this the least drawtastic season in top-flight history?

Plus: the first team to field players from six continents; the 1972-73 Arsenal Uefa Cup mystery; and players going out in a blaze of glory. Send your questions and answers to knowledge@guardian.co.uk

“There have been remarkably few draws in the Premier League this season,” notes Pete Andrews. “Are we on for a record?”

There have indeed been a mere nine draws in the Premier League so far this season, from 76 games this season, a total of just 11.8%. In contrast La Liga has seen 13 in 60 games (21.6%), Ligue 1 17 from 80 games (21.3%), Serie A 23 in 70 games (32.9%) and the Bundesliga 18 from 80 games (22.5%).

A statistical trawl through the archive shows that we are indeed on course for a Premier League record (yes, we know football existed before 1992, but our eyes are swimming with figures just having gone back 17 years, so it’ll have to do).

As you can see from our excellent and informative table on the left, no season since the Premier League began has had so few draws at this stage of the season. The memorable 1999-2000 season comes closest, with 13 draws (the numbers in brackets indicate the number of games played – the untidy nature of the fixture list means it’s impossible to compare exactly like-for-like). Last season there were 15, in 1995-96 17, and so on and so forth. You can order the table by ascending and descending orders by clicking on the headers.

In terms of the final reckoning, the 2005-06 season had comfortably the fewest stalemates (helped in no small part by the fact that Chelsea and Manchester City registered just four apiece all season) at 20.3%. But if we project this season’s current 11.8% over the course of the campaign, our rudimentary GCSE maths leads us to believe that come May we’ll see a season-long tally of around 11.8%.

Would that be a top-flight record? Only just we reckon. Back in 1890-91 there were only 16 draws in the 132 matches — a total of 12.1%.

WORLD XI

“When was the first time that a club fielded a starting XI with at least one player from all six continents (or major confederations)?” wondered Chris Cuomo last week.

Well, with the famous “galaxy of stars landing on Planet Premiership” post-1994, you’d expect this to have happened a while ago, yet the oldest suggestions we’ve had date back only to 2007.

Elliot Jacob suggests the Blackburn that lined up against Derby in December of that year. Rovers included Brad Friedel (Concacaf), Ryan Nelson (OFC), Aaron Mokoena (Caf), Brett Emerton (AFC), Roque Santa Cruz (Conmebol) and a host of players from the Uefa zone.

On a more geographical bent, Niel Butler suggests a similar team from two months earlier, with Emerton representing Australia the continent and Tugay and Zurab Khizanishvili representing Asia.

Stuart Meney reckons he can gazump both with a Middlesbrough team from March 2007, though he has stretched his suggestion to include substitutes: Lee Dong-gook (AFC), Yakubu (Caf), Jason Euell (Concacaf), Julio Arca (Conmebol), Viduka (OFC, at the time at least) and Stewart Downing and co for Uefa.